{"id":13595,"date":"2026-05-04T15:55:56","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T13:55:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oxfordwisefinance.com\/blog\/?p=13595"},"modified":"2026-05-04T15:56:02","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T13:56:02","slug":"2026-stock-market-why-selling-in-may-is-a-bad-idea","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oxfordwisefinance.com\/blog\/2026-stock-market-why-selling-in-may-is-a-bad-idea\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 Stock Market: Why Selling in May Is a Bad Idea"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!-- Authority Ninja Box START --><br \/>\n<!--authority-ninja-box--><\/p>\n<div class=\"authority-ninja-box\" data-authority-ninja=\"1\" style=\"border: 1px solid #ccc;border-radius: 20px;padding: 16px;background-color: #f9f9f9;margin-bottom: 24px\">\n<div class=\"an-headline\"><strong>Oxford Wise Finance<\/strong><\/div>\n<div class=\"an-context\" style=\"font-size:13px;opacity:0.9\">Personal Finance Guides \u2014 Credit, Loans &amp; Budgeting \u00b7 oxfordwisefinance.com<\/div>\n<div class=\"an-note\" style=\"margin-top:6px\">2026 Stock Market helps you reach a clear next step without overthinking. Review timing, crawl and indexing, and entity coverage before you lock the plan; before you publish, verify internal links and indexing signals. It makes the final choice faster without losing the essentials.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- Authority Ninja Box END --><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"article-disclosure-banner-wrapper\">\n<p>We conduct thorough research on all brands listed and may earn a commission from our partners. The results of our research and various financial considerations may influence how brands are displayed. Please note that not all brands are included in our analysis. To learn more, please visit our site.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"article-body\" data-tracking-zone=\"body\">\n<div class=\"padded\">\n<p>In a remarkable turn of events, both the <b>S&amp;P 500<\/b> and <b>Nasdaq<\/b> wrapped up April with their most robust monthly performances since 2020. The crucial question now is whether this momentum will sustain as we move into May.<\/p>\n<p>Traditionally, May has ushered in a six-month period characterized by lackluster returns in the U.S. stock market, reinforcing a time-honored investing adage: \u201cSell in May and go away.\u201d This phrase encapsulates a strategy that suggests investors should pull back from equities during the summer months and re-enter the market in November, a time when conditions tend to be more favorable for investment.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis concept implies that investors are better off stepping aside from the stock market during the warmer months,\u201d stated Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist at <b>LPL Financial<\/b>, in a recent research note. He elaborated on this strategy, highlighting its historical significance in guiding investor behavior.<\/p>\n<section class=\"m00646-mc-recommendations money-component-ca\" \/>\n<p>However, in today\u2019s investing landscape, this traditional strategy may lack relevance. Even if market conditions tend to mellow over the summer, Turnquist analyzed trends in market performance from May to October dating back to 1950. His analysis revealed that during this six-month span, the <b><a href=\"https:\/\/oxfordwisefinance.com\/blog\/sso-vs-spym-the-best-methods-for-buying-the-sp-500\/\">S&amp;P 500<\/a><\/b> historically yielded the weakest returns, averaging a modest gain of just 2.1%. This sobering statistic raises concerns about adhering to age-old advice.<\/p>\n<p>In more recent years, however, the performance between May and October has shown a notable uptick. Over the past twelve years, Turnquist pointed out, the average return during this period has increased to 5.1%. This shift suggests that while seasonal patterns provide valuable historical insights, they may not always serve as reliable predictors of future market behavior.<\/p>\n<p>Given the current market volatility, particularly due to the ongoing conflict in Iran, the advice to \u201csell in May\u201d may be particularly misguided this year. The unpredictable nature of the markets makes historical returns less applicable as a guiding principle for investors.<\/p>\n<p>Recently, fluctuations in oil supply through the <b>Iranian-controlled Strait of Hormuz<\/b> have become a significant driving force behind market movements, overshadowing seasonal trends. The rising stock prices indicate that investors are optimistic about a potential peace deal between the U.S. and Iran, which could stabilize the market.<\/p>\n<p>On the home front, major corporations such as <b><a href=\"https:\/\/oxfordwisefinance.com\/blog\/warren-buffett-sells-75-of-apple-stake-for-new-investment\/\">Apple<\/a><\/b>, <b>Roku<\/b>, and <b>Moderna<\/b> are reporting first-quarter performances that exceed expectations, creating a buzz in the market partly due to anticipated tariff refunds from the Trump administration. These developments contribute to a more complex investment landscape that cannot be easily navigated by simply adhering to outdated strategies.<\/p>\n<section class=\"m00646-mc-recommendations money-component-ca\" \/>\n<p>These unfolding events alone call into question the wisdom of selling this May. Additionally, the practical tax implications of selling stocks while the market is at or near an all-time high should not be overlooked. Selling in a taxable account may result in capital gains taxes, which could significantly reduce your returns, even if you re-enter the market later this year at a similar price point, as noted by <b><a href=\"https:\/\/oxfordwisefinance.com\/blog\/5-best-crypto-exchanges-of-2024\/\">Hook Wealth Management<\/a><\/b>.<\/p>\n<p>A separate analysis conducted last month by Eric Wenz, an associate portfolio manager at <b>American Century Investments<\/b>, emphasized the importance of holding investments rather than selling during periods of market dips. Wenz illustrated the growth trajectory of a $1,000 investment in the <b>S&amp;P<\/b> from 1976 to 2025, contrasting the \u201csell in May\u201d approach with a simple buy-and-hold strategy. After nearly five decades of market growth, the \u201csell in May\u201d investment yielded just over $46,000, reflecting an increase of 4,535%.<\/p>\n<p>In contrast, the buy-and-hold strategy saw the investment value soar to nearly $295,000, resulting in an impressive increase of 29,179%. This stark difference highlights the potency of long-term investment strategies. \u201cLong-term portfolios that adhered to a buy-and-hold strategy consistently outperformed those that exited in May,\u201d Wenz noted, reinforcing the idea that maintaining investments through various market conditions yields superior results over time.<\/p>\n<section class=\"m00646-mc-recommendations money-component-ca\" \/><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/money.com\/sell-in-may-stock-market-2026\/?xid=moneyrss\" rel=\"nofollow\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oxford Wise Finance Personal Finance Guides \u2014 Credit, Loans &amp; Budgeting \u00b7 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":13596,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","pagelayer_contact_templates":[],"_pagelayer_content":"","iawp_total_views":1,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[142,240],"tags":[50],"class_list":["post-13595","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance-business","category-stock-market","tag-news","col-md-12"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>2026 Stock Market: Why Selling in May Is a Bad Idea - Blog - Oxford Wise Finance<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"&quot;Sell in May and go away&quot; might not hold true any more. 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